Strengthening evidence-based policies for the resilience of European agriculture and forestry and related supply chains against crises and systemic risks

Expected Outcome:Project results are expected to contribute to all of the following expected outcomes:societal and political actors have a better understanding of how European agriculture and forestry, as well as agri-food and forest-based supply chains, are exposed to and impacted by a combination of complex systemic risks and crises;EU, national, regional and local decision-makers have access to improved analytical capacity and recommendations on policy instruments and strategies for assessing, preventing and managing systemic risks and crises;the compounding, cascading and amplifying roles of climate change for different kinds of risk and crises and in constraining options for crisis response are better understood, facilitating their systematic integration into decision-making;the compounding, amplifying and/or mitigating role of trade for different kinds of risk and crises involving supply chain effects is better understood. Scope:The 2020 and 2025 Strategic Foresight Reports[1] put forward resilience as a compass for EU policies. Resilience is defined as the ability not only to withstand and cope with challenges but also to undergo transitions, in a sustainable, fair, and democratic manner. Adopting a transformative, proactive and forward-looking approach to resilience is needed for the EU to thrive in turbulent times, anticipate new challenges and create a safe space for citizens and businesses. Against this background, proposals should target several systemic risks and crises (e.g., sanitary, environmental, economic, geopolitical, biodiversity, demographic, technological) that are causing, or likely to cause, significant socio-economic impacts directly or indirectly affecting European agriculture or forestry, and agri-food or forest-based supply chains, considering potential compound, cascading and amplifier effects under climate change.The actions under this topic are relevant to the EU policies related to the EU Vision for Agriculture and Food, the EU Fores